As the final hours approach for the release of the 2024 exit polls, noted Indian poll strategist Prashant Kishor remains firm on his predictions for the Lok Sabha election outcomes. Today, marking the conclusion of the voting phase, all major news channels will start broadcasting exit polls at 6:30 pm.
Kishor forecasts a performance by the BJP in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections that mirrors or slightly surpasses their 2019 results. "In my evaluation, the BJP will return with similar or marginally better numbers. I don't anticipate significant changes in seat counts in the western and northern regions. The party has secured considerable backing in the eastern and southern parts of India," Kishor stated in an interview with The Print.
In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, the BJP won 303 seats, achieving major victories in northern and western India. Kishor predicts a potential increase in the BJP’s seat count and vote share in the eastern and southern states. He highlighted the party's enhanced efforts to expand its influence in Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, and Tamil Nadu, expecting gains due to the voters' relative unfamiliarity with the BJP in these regions.
Previously, Kishor had expressed his confidence in the BJP's prospects, indicating that the lack of a formidable opposition would likely ensure a continued mandate for the party. Speaking to NDTV, he remarked, "I believe the Modi-led BJP is poised to return. They might secure the same number of seats as the last election or even slightly more. Unless there is widespread dissatisfaction or a strong call for change, I don't foresee a significant shift."
He further criticized the opposition's lack of a unified, credible leader, noting, "Despite the Opposition's efforts, the public perception remains that it lacks a clear, credible face. There is no widespread anger against the incumbent or a strong demand for a challenger. Therefore, I don't expect a dramatic change in the numbers."
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